From the Desk
Follow the markets the Cayman Trader way, where a desk is never required. Get up to date on where the market is headed every single Monday morning, and find out exactly where the market has been every Friday. Enjoy The Cayman Trader lifestyle articles every weekend where we discuss the wins, the losses and the freedom of a deskless trading career. Welcome to The Cayman Trader.
Iran calls the ceasefire over, nine nights of strikes, and an active blockade posture in the Strait of Hormuz. Talks headlines, the ECB Thursday and flash PMIs Friday all get read through the Gulf.
Read →Loss aversion, sunk cost, the confirmation trap, and the trader who takes a quarter million a year from the market while being wrong most of the time. Good traders are better at losing than winning.
Read →Soft CPI should have been the story. Instead six countries were hit, oil rose more than ten percent, gold posted its worst week in six, and September hike odds climbed against the data.
Read →June CPI is a photograph of a peace that already ended. Warsh testifies ninety minutes after the print. Bank earnings, retail sales, and Iran able to reprice everything with one headline.
Read →The pit boss, the 0.92 seconds, one hit a week, and the free speech test. The difference between good and great is not talent. It is a decision made once and never reopened.
Read →Missiles hit tankers, the ceasefire died in Ankara, oil surged six percent, and gold fell. Inside the inversion, and why supply shock inflation is the alarm clock nobody is pricing.
Read →FOMC minutes Wednesday reveal a committee split nine to nine. Gold holding its $4,100 gains, EUR/USD capped at 1.1480, and a peace deal running on a 60 day timer.
Read →Effort is not edge. On the Protestant work ethic, the goalkeeper problem, herding cats, and why the hardest working traders keep the worst statistics in the game.
Read →NFP printed 57,000 against 110,000 expected. September hike odds cut to a coin flip, gold reclaimed $4,100 after a third defence of $3,960, and the euro broke its cap.
Read →Fix the person first. The trading takes care of itself. On emotional control, BE DO HAVE, the $1 and the $10,000, and why discipline is one muscle that does not know which area of your life it is working on.
Read โThree landmines in five sessions. US-Iran technical talks in Doha today, Warsh at the ECB Forum Wednesday, and June NFP Friday. Key levels on gold, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY and oil.
Read โFour consecutive weeks of red on gold, oil down thirty percent since late May on Hormuz reopening, and a late Sunday ceasefire the market is treating with justified scepticism.
Read โA visa run back home, a daughter's fiance hauling hay at dawn, and the myth that you have to get your hands dirty or stay in one place to build real wealth.
Read โA stalled Iran diplomatic track, a Dollar at one year highs, and Core PCE Thursday as the first real test of the Fed's new hawkish stance.
Read โThe Fed held rates but flipped the dot plot hawkish. The US Iran memorandum got signed in the same week, with Israel notably absent.
Read โNobody loses their house in a single bad afternoon. They lose it one quiet year at a time. Meet Don, and the quiet math of inflation and currency erosion.
Read โFOMC decision Wednesday collides with the US Iran memorandum signing. Two of the biggest macro stories of the year, pulling in opposite directions.
Read โMay CPI split the difference, the market went quiet, and all eyes shift to next week's FOMC decision and dot plot.
Read โThe promise of job stability is a story that aged badly. The layoffs, the restructuring, the calendar invite with HR copied in. We just were not listening.
Read โCPI Wednesday. Warsh press conference next week. Gold at 4,300. The NFP shock is still reverberating into the summer macro regime.
Read โ172,000 jobs. Twice the consensus. The Dollar ripped, gold dropped to three month lows, and the Nasdaq sold off on great news. Welcome to the paradox of 2026.
Read โForget the jobs number. This week the market is hostage to one question: Iran, peace or no peace. Why even a handshake won't unwind the inflation already baked in.
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